Okun's Law

Paul Geary

10109099

Project A: Okuns impartiality

coupled States

quaternate March 2011

Above we see the Business Cycle for the United States displaying both the Unemployment rates and the Real Growth gross domestic product in persona change over the last 30 years. in that location are clear indicators that the US economy has had clear stages of frugal over-cooling and over-heating during the last 30 years. Between 1981-1985 the US economy expand greatly except for a 4% drop in 1983. This rapid expansion was clearly unsustainable, as we see with the slack contraction in the size of the economy from 1986 to1992 where gross domestic product was hardly 1% and unemployment reached 7%. We see this again from 2004 all the management to 2010 with unemployment increasing to 10%. We can see that the economy hits a recession after roughly 10 years of graduated expansion.

Okuns legality states that for every 1% rises in Unemployment, GDP decreases by roughly 3%. The above Scatter fleck chart shows data from 1981 to 2010 and we can see that for every 1% rise in Unemployment over this period, GDP dropped by 0.4%. This shows a negative slop and that the relationship is relatively weak imputable to the fact the GDP has decreased by less than 1%.

Arthur Okun
Arthur Okun is mainly known for his theory, Ouns Law.



Okuns Law describes a relationship amid dower change in unemployment and percentage change in Gross National Product. Okuns Law depicts a linear relationship between the two percentage changes. In theory, for every 1% fall in unemployment, gross national product rises by 3%. Arthur Okun developed this theory based on data he collected World War cardinal and 1960. However Okun stated that his theory was only valid if unemployment was between 3-7.5%.
Arthur Okun was on and later became a senior economist of chairman John F. Kennedys Council of Economic Advisers (CEA) in 1960. It was Okuns Law that persuaded Kennedy to implement major tax cuts. Arthur Okun believed that tax policies were the way to increases GDP and also decrease...If you want to get a full essay, assemble it on our website: Ordercustompaper.com



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